Influenza epidemic control is an important public health priority, and the application of isolation, vaccination, and drug treatment measures to control influenza is based on an incomplete understanding of influenza virus epidemiology. Several limited studies suggest that influenza vaccination of children significantly reduces the disease burden in adult populations, but the extent of this effect is not known. The central hypothesis of this research is that the extent and severity of epidemic influenza largely depends on virus transmission in children.
Three specific aims are proposed.
In Specific Aim 1 we will track the appearance of influenza A and B in adults and children over five consecutive seasons to define patterns of virus spread within human populations, and test the hypothesis that the virus moves from children to adults.
In Specific Aim 2 we will measure the impact of childhood vaccination, including the recently expanded nasal influenza vaccine indication for healthy persons 2-49 years of age, on the disease burden in both adults and children. We will concurrently determine influenza vaccination rates and rates of influenza disease in persons of all ages to measure the extent of influenza disease protection conferred to adults by childhood vaccination programs.
In Specific Aim 3 we will measure influenza virus vaccine effectiveness for prevention of hospitalization and emergency department visits for persons of all ages. Dr. Poehling performed an important population-based epidemiologic study of childhood influenza disease that helped inform recommendations for expanded childhood influenza vaccination to include children 2-<5 years of age. This innovative research will occur at a unique time of anticipated, widespread childhood nasal influenza vaccine introduction, in a setting that will permit prospective, population-based study of adults and children over multiple consecutive seasons to answer fundamental questions about influenza disease epidemiology and its control.
Limited research suggests that influenza infection of children may disproportionately enhance its rapid movement in human populations during seasonal and pandemic epidemics, and that influenza prevention in children may be critically important in influenza control. We will perform prospective, population-based, laboratory supported viral surveillance of children and adults hospitalized or seen in an emergency department for respiratory illnesses through 5 consecutive influenza seasons. This research will measure the relative timing of influenza movement in children and adults during seasonal epidemics, rates of influenza vaccination and disease in a population of adults and children representative of the U.S. population, and effectiveness of influenza virus vaccination in persons of all ages.
|Peters, Timothy R; Snively, Beverly M; Suerken, Cynthia K et al. (2016) Estimating the Burden of Pandemic Infectious Disease: The Case of the Second Wave of Pandemic Influenza H1N1 in Forsyth County, North Carolina. N C Med J 77:15-22|
|Guo, Dongmin; Li, King C; Peters, Timothy R et al. (2015) Multi-scale modeling for the transmission of influenza and the evaluation of interventions toward it. Sci Rep 5:8980|
|Jules, Astride; Grijalva, Carlos G; Zhu, Yuwei et al. (2015) Influenza-related hospitalization and ED visits in children less than 5 years: 2000-2011. Pediatrics 135:e66-74|
|Miller, Marc R; Peters, Timothy R; Suerken, Cynthia K et al. (2015) Predictors of Influenza Diagnosis Among Patients With Laboratory-Confirmed Influenza. J Infect Dis 212:1604-12|
|Peters, Timothy R; Poehling, Katherine A (2014) Influenza vaccine in the red zone defense: a game-day player. J Infect Dis 210:671-3|
|Peters, Timothy R; Snively, Beverly M; Suerken, Cynthia K et al. (2014) Relative timing of influenza disease by age group. Vaccine 32:6451-6|
|Poehling, Katherine A; Edwards, Kathryn M; Griffin, Marie R et al. (2013) The burden of influenza in young children, 2004-2009. Pediatrics 131:207-16|
|Poehling, Katherine A; Vannoy, Lauren; Peters, Timothy R (2013) Verifying influenza and pneumococcal immunization status of children in 2009-2010 from primary care practice records and from the North Carolina Immunization Registry. N C Med J 74:185-91|
|Peters, Timothy R; Suerken, Cynthia K; Snively, Beverly M et al. (2013) Influenza testing, diagnosis, and treatment in the emergency department in 2009-2010 and 2010-2011. Acad Emerg Med 20:786-94|
|Poehling, Katherine A; Blocker, Jill; Ip, Edward H et al. (2012) 2009-2010 seasonal influenza vaccination coverage among college students from 8 universities in North Carolina. J Am Coll Health 60:541-7|
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