This application is one of a pair of applications that seek funding to continue the national study, Monitoring the Future (MTF). It seeks a five-year continuation of data collection in the cohort-sequential panel studies. The investigators will continue to measure and study changes in substance use and related factors across historical periods and across the life course (up to age 50), using multiple samples of high school graduates first surveyed in 12th grade by MTF. The proposed continuation will extend these very rare, nationally representative panels that now cover up to 30 years of the life span. Highly cost-efficient mailed surveys will continue to be conducted biennially to age 30, and once every five years thereafter, to age 50. Individual and social contextual factors, including role and social context transitions that may explain change and stability in drug use, will be measured. The research objectives are: (i) to continue to track historical change in substance use by important segments of the general adult population, including college students and other young adults, as well as those in middle age;(2) to document the natural history of drug use and related attitudes from adolescence into middle adulthood, including later substance use disorders (abuse and dependence);(3) to extend the age band covered to age 50;(4) to continue to study and track risk and protective behaviors associated with the spread of HIV;(5) to distinguish among three different types of change taking place-period, age, and cohort;and, (6) to study the causes, consequences, and developmental patterns associated with each type of change. (The three types of change have different determinants and timing of action and MTF has demonstrated that all three have occurred for most drugs.) Factors that may explain historical trends and cohort differences will also be monitored. Other hypothesized psychological, behavioral, and social determinants of drug use (including attitudes and beliefs, peer norms, and availability) will be measured, as well as a range of potential consequences of drug use (including physical health, drug abuse and dependence, psychological well-being, status attainment, and role performance). The investigators will continue to facilitate use of MTF data by others. Study results should have major implications for understanding (and preventing) drug use and abuse, and the spread of HIV.

Agency
National Institute of Health (NIH)
Institute
National Institute on Drug Abuse (NIDA)
Type
Research Project (R01)
Project #
5R01DA016575-09
Application #
8113170
Study Section
Special Emphasis Panel (ZRG1-RPHB-H (90))
Program Officer
Lopez, Marsha
Project Start
2003-09-30
Project End
2012-07-31
Budget Start
2011-08-01
Budget End
2012-07-31
Support Year
9
Fiscal Year
2011
Total Cost
$1,617,039
Indirect Cost
Name
University of Michigan Ann Arbor
Department
Biostatistics & Other Math Sci
Type
Organized Research Units
DUNS #
073133571
City
Ann Arbor
State
MI
Country
United States
Zip Code
48109
Patrick, Megan E; Terry-McElrath, Yvonne M; Schulenberg, John E et al. (2017) Patterns of high-intensity drinking among young adults in the United States: A repeated measures latent class analysis. Addict Behav 74:134-139
Miech, Richard A; Patrick, Megan E; O'Malley, Patrick M et al. (2017) The Influence of College Attendance on Risk for Marijuana Initiation in the United States: 1977 to 2015. Am J Public Health 107:996-1002
Fish, Jessica N; Pollitt, Amanda M; Schulenberg, John E et al. (2017) Alcohol use from adolescence through early adulthood: an assessment of measurement invariance by age and gender. Addiction 112:1495-1507
Miech, Richard; Johnston, Lloyd; O'Malley, Patrick M (2017) Prevalence and Attitudes Regarding Marijuana Use Among Adolescents Over the Past Decade. Pediatrics 140:
Patrick, Megan E; Terry-McElrath, Yvonne M; Miech, Richard A et al. (2017) Age-Specific Prevalence of Binge and High-Intensity Drinking Among U.S. Young Adults: Changes from 2005 to 2015. Alcohol Clin Exp Res 41:1319-1328
Wray-Lake, Laura; Schulenberg, John; Keyes, Katherine M et al. (2017) The developmental course of community service across the transition to adulthood in a national U.S. sample. Dev Psychol 53:2397-2408
McCabe, Sean Esteban; Veliz, Philip; Wilens, Timothy E et al. (2017) Adolescents' Prescription Stimulant Use and Adult Functional Outcomes: A National Prospective Study. J Am Acad Child Adolesc Psychiatry 56:226-233.e4
McCabe, Sean Esteban; Veliz, Philip; Boyd, Carol J et al. (2017) Medical and nonmedical use of prescription sedatives and anxiolytics: Adolescents' use and substance use disorder symptoms in adulthood. Addict Behav 65:296-301
Patrick, Megan E; Evans-Polce, Rebecca; Kloska, Deborah D et al. (2017) Age-Related Changes in Associations Between Reasons for Alcohol Use and High-Intensity Drinking Across Young Adulthood. J Stud Alcohol Drugs 78:558-570
Veliz, Philip; Schulenberg, John; Patrick, Megan et al. (2017) Competitive sports participation in high school and subsequent substance use in young adulthood: Assessing differences based on level of contact. Int Rev Sociol Sport 52:240-259

Showing the most recent 10 out of 61 publications