Psychological research has demonstrated that people's preferences are not constant and that decision makers often depart from predictions made by so called `rational` models. Most decision making theories, however, either make deterministic predictions to address departures from rational principles, or handle variability of behavior with stochastic models that cannot account for such violations. This research examines a new, stochastic model of decision making, the proportional difference model (PD). PD is a simple, two-parameter model, based on the notion that decision makers trade attribute values in a proportional manner and that this trading is a variable process. A number of experiments will be conducted to examine the predictions of the PD model. The first study will test PD by comparing its descriptive ability to that of three other models found in the literature; preliminary tests suggest PD is a better model. The second study will focus on PD's predictions of context effects, such as effects of maximum attribute values in the choice environment and the known reflection effect. The third study will investigate decision making with vague information. The results of this research will advance the state of knowledge of descriptive decision making.

Agency
National Science Foundation (NSF)
Institute
Division of Social and Economic Sciences (SES)
Type
Standard Grant (Standard)
Application #
9515241
Program Officer
Cheryl L. Eavey
Project Start
Project End
Budget Start
1996-03-01
Budget End
1998-02-28
Support Year
Fiscal Year
1995
Total Cost
$111,008
Indirect Cost
Name
Suny at Albany
Department
Type
DUNS #
City
Albany
State
NY
Country
United States
Zip Code
12222