This award is towards support of a Chapman Conference on Volcanism and the Atmosphere, to be held June 11-15, 2012 at Selfoss Iceland. It is now well-established that volcanic eruptions can have a significant effect on the Earth's atmosphere and global and regional climate. Larger eruptions in the distant past may have caused major changes in global and regional climate, and possibly changes in human populations. In order to detect modern anthropogenic influences on climate, including effects of greenhouse gases, aerosols, and ozone-depleting chemicals, and to evaluate proposals for stratospheric geoengineering, it is crucial to quantify natural fluctuations such as volcanic eruptions so as to separate them from other natural and anthropogenic factors in the climate record. Since the Chapman Conference on Volcanism and the Earth's Atmosphere a decade or so ago, there have been advances in our understanding of volcanism and its effects on the atmosphere. The vulnerability of the aviation industry to volcanic eruptions has also received attention in recent years. The conference will bring together experts to examine issues such as mechanisms of super-eruptions and climatic effects as evidenced in model simulations; high-resolution Holocene records of explosive eruptions; volcanism in the last millennium; improved proxy records such as ice-cores; climatic response to high-latitude eruptions; geoengineering using stratospheric aerosols and volcanic eruptions and aviation. A review article will be written for dissemination to a wider audience.

Project Report

Volcanic eruptions release volcanic ash and gases into the atmosphere that alter atmospheric chemistry and climate, and rep­resent a hazard to aviation, particularly for modern jet aircraft. At the AGU Chapman Conference on Volcanism and the Earth’s in Atmosphere (June 2012), 124 scientists gathered to dis­cuss the effects of volcanism on the atmo­sphere at timescales ranging from billions of years, over which volcanic emissions have changed the composition of the atmo­sphere, to the Icelandic Eyjafjallajökull erup­tion in 2010, which caused a 10-day- long shutdown of North Atlantic air traffic. This was the third Chapman Conference on Vol­canism and the Atmosphere, following those held in Hilo, Hawaii, in 1992 and in Santo­rini, Greece, in 2002, all of which were orga­nized under the auspices of the Commission on Volcanism and the Earth’s Atmosphere of the International Association of Volca­nism and Chemistry of the Earth’s Interior (IAVCEI) and the International Association for Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences. Several items contributed to the success of the conference: Controversy. Much good science was presented at the meeting and new research collaborations were forged. Students were exposed to new work and had the chance to talk infor­mally with experienced scientists. These are the usual benefits of Chapman Confer­ences. But the controversy was interest­ing and unusual. Two of the issues that Lavigne (Panthéon- Sorbonne University) and coworkers claimed to have discov­ered which volcano erupted in 1258 C.E. (not revealed by him at the conference), producing the largest stratospheric cloud of the past millennium (according to ice core records) and initiating the Little Ice Age, as described in new work by Gifford Miller (University of Colorado Boulder) and colleagues. On another topic, back-to-back talks by Michael Mann (Pennsylva­nia State University) and Rosanne D’Arrigo (Lamont- Doherty Earth Observatory) debated how well tree rings can quan­tify the climate response to large volcanic eruptions, such as that in 1258. The jury is still out. Location, location, location. Each of the previous two Chapman Conferences on vol­canism and the atmosphere was held in a volcanic location, and this one did not dis­appoint. Thanks to the guiding from local experts Thor Thordarson, Ármann Höskulds­son, Jónas Guðnason, and Karl Grönvold, the field trips during and after the confer­ence were successes. Included in the con­ference were Tuesday afternoon trips to the active volcano Hekla, to a geothermal power plant, and to Thingvellir, where the mid-ocean ridge and the splitting of the tec­tonic plates are dramatically exposed. On Wednesday, conference attendees visited outcrops of historic and prehistoric ash lay­ers, the products of the 2010 Eyjafjallajökull eruption, and climbed to the ice sheet near the base of the volcano. The postconfer­ence trip viewed the spectacular geology of the Reykjanes peninsula en route back to Reykjavík. The location of Iceland also made for easy access from the United States and Europe, the home of the vast majority of attendees. Hotel Selfoss had excellent con­ference facilities, the town had enough res­taurants, and it was close enough to Reyk­javík (Iceland’s capital) to allow access but isolated enough to ensure that attendees spent a lot of time together. Scheduling. Talks were organized in the morning, the afternoon free for discussion and collaboration, and an evening keynote lecture, followed by poster sessions. Every speaker also brought a poster, so as to par­ticipate fully in the poster sessions. Spontaneous meetings were orga­nized during some of the free afternoons to organize future work on the Laki erup­tion and volcano monitoring, and they were well attended. In fact, every poster session, even on the last day (Friday), saw people avidly discussing until past 11 P.M., not only because of the interesting science, but also because it was still light outside and did not seem like time for bed. (contributed by Alan Robock and T. Thordarson)

Agency
National Science Foundation (NSF)
Institute
Division of Atmospheric and Geospace Sciences (AGS)
Type
Standard Grant (Standard)
Application #
1213114
Program Officer
Anjuli Bamzai
Project Start
Project End
Budget Start
2012-05-01
Budget End
2013-04-30
Support Year
Fiscal Year
2012
Total Cost
$40,000
Indirect Cost
Name
American Geophysical Union
Department
Type
DUNS #
City
Washington
State
DC
Country
United States
Zip Code
20009