There is a growing statistical evidence that many price processes (stock prices, index values, exchange rates, interest rates) exhibit presence of very small, but very frequent jumps. Moreover, this behavior seems to be unstable over time, sometimes the presence of small jumps is very strong, but sometimes almost nonexistent. Traditional decision control analysis uses diffusion models with possible addition of infrequent large jumps to study problems related to the market control.

Because of the statistical evidence of jump presence in many price processes, it is proposed to study: 1) How the market agent (investor, regulator) should react to the presence of jumps? What is the optimal strategy to use? 2) Is the optimal strategy different for the problem without jumps in contrast to the problem with jumps? Is the strategy for the problem without jumps (diffusion model) robust in the sense that if used for the problem with jumps, it performs reasonably well? 3) Given that there is a significant uncertainty about the presence of frequent small jumps in the first place and the strategy found for the diffusion problem is not robust, find a reasonable strategy which would perform well in both models.

Agency
National Science Foundation (NSF)
Institute
Division of Mathematical Sciences (DMS)
Type
Standard Grant (Standard)
Application #
0418457
Program Officer
Leland M. Jameson
Project Start
Project End
Budget Start
2004-09-01
Budget End
2007-08-31
Support Year
Fiscal Year
2004
Total Cost
$96,137
Indirect Cost
Name
Columbia University
Department
Type
DUNS #
City
New York
State
NY
Country
United States
Zip Code
10027