This research is an investigation of the practical applications of the theories of chaos towards understanding and predicting the random aspects of seismicity. If successful, these methods hold great promise for becoming a practical method of predicting earthquakes on any chaotic fault system. Utilizing earlier promising results, this work will estimate the amount of time that any deterministic model reflects the initial conditions rather than the chaotic nature of fault systems. A test will be made of two recently proposed, attractor-based methods of predicting seismicity on those fault systems. This research is a component of the National Earthquake Hazard Reduction Program.

Agency
National Science Foundation (NSF)
Institute
Division of Earth Sciences (EAR)
Type
Standard Grant (Standard)
Application #
9005300
Program Officer
James H. Whitcomb
Project Start
Project End
Budget Start
1990-08-15
Budget End
1992-07-31
Support Year
Fiscal Year
1990
Total Cost
$50,000
Indirect Cost
Name
Northwestern University at Chicago
Department
Type
DUNS #
City
Evanston
State
IL
Country
United States
Zip Code
60201