This research program revolves around three different but related projects in discrete choice modeling and estimation. The common theme is the modeling of consumer choice behavior, and the estimation of models of consumer behavior on revealed preference data sets. With the availability of electronic scanner panel data, choice models have become very important for understanding consumer behavior. For example, such models may be used to evaluate the impact of the marketing mix on consumer purchasing behavior, and to assess the patterns of competition in the market place. The three research projects in this study involve the use of recently developed simulation estimation techniques. In the model of the first project, consumer choice probabilities are high dimensional integrals over unobserved prices and coupon values, as well as over stochastic preference shocks. Thus, Monte-Carlo methods must be used to simulate the likelihood function in the model. In the second and third projects, both solution of the dynamic programming problem and construction of the likelihood function require high dimensional integrations over stochastic process for prices, preference shocks, etc. In these projects we will use MonteCarlo methods both to solve consumers' dynamic programming problems and to simulate the likelihood function.

Agency
National Science Foundation (NSF)
Institute
Division of Social and Economic Sciences (SES)
Application #
9511280
Program Officer
Hal R. Arkes
Project Start
Project End
Budget Start
1995-09-01
Budget End
1998-08-31
Support Year
Fiscal Year
1995
Total Cost
$99,647
Indirect Cost
Name
University of California Berkeley
Department
Type
DUNS #
City
Berkeley
State
CA
Country
United States
Zip Code
94704