The goal of this proposal is to develop statistical methods and algorithms for the design and analysis of multi-drug combination studies. Drug combinations are the hallmark of therapies for complex diseases such as cancer, HIV and hypertension. Because drug-effect is dose-dependent, multiple doses of an individual drug need to be examined, yielding rapidly rising number of combinations and a challenging high dimensional statistical problem. The lack of proper design and analysis methods for multi-drug combination studies have resulted in many missed therapeutic opportunities. Our preliminary studies have identified an analytic formula for determining the relative potency of two anticancer drugs, which contradicts the common assumption of constant relative potency in the field. Furthermore, we have developed a maximal power approach for the design and analysis of combination studies so that the statistical power to detect departures from additively is maximized, the dose-response can be estimated with moderate sample size. Currently multi-drug combination studies have to resort to suboptimal design such as pair wise evaluation of two-drugs. We propose a novel two-stage procedure starting with an initial selection by utilizing an in silico model built upon experimental data of single drugs in conjunction with available network or pathway information and followed with efficient experimental designs on selected multi-drug combinations and statistical analysis of the data. Integrating modern statistical methods, mathematics, pharmacology and computing, we propose to (1) develop the statistical models and algorithms for the optimal selection of drugs and their interactions utilizing single-drug dose response data and signaling pathway/network information;(2) develop experimental designs and statistical analysis for characterizing dose-responses using the in silico results in Aim 1;(3) develop statistical methods for the interaction (synergy) analysis of multi-drug combinations, (4) test the methods in cancer cell lines in studies already funded by NCI, and other funding agencies;and (5) enrich computer programs developed in Aims 1-3. Upon completion of the project, it is anticipated that the method will be able to serve a much larger translational research community and it will also have bearing to statistical research dealing with high dimensional data.

Public Health Relevance

Pre-clinical laboratory testing is an important step to translate laboratory discoveries to clinic. The goal of this proposal is to develop statistical methods to optimally design and efficiently analyze preclinical drug combination studies in cancer and other complex diseases such as AIDS and hypertension. Drug combinations are central to cancer therapy. With increased complexity in drug therapy, the optimized design and interaction analysis yield a methodology for identifying most synergistic combinations and provide a basis to further study the combination in vivo.

Agency
National Institute of Health (NIH)
Institute
National Cancer Institute (NCI)
Type
Research Project (R01)
Project #
1R01CA164717-01A1
Application #
8392050
Study Section
Biostatistical Methods and Research Design Study Section (BMRD)
Program Officer
Alley, Michael C
Project Start
2012-07-09
Project End
2012-10-11
Budget Start
2012-07-09
Budget End
2012-10-11
Support Year
1
Fiscal Year
2012
Total Cost
$56,696
Indirect Cost
$19,761
Name
University of Maryland Baltimore
Department
Public Health & Prev Medicine
Type
Schools of Medicine
DUNS #
188435911
City
Baltimore
State
MD
Country
United States
Zip Code
21201
Huang, Hengzhen; Fang, Hong-Bin; Tan, Ming T (2018) Experimental design for multi-drug combination studies using signaling networks. Biometrics 74:538-547
Wan, Wen; Pei, Xin-Yan; Grant, Steven et al. (2017) Nonlinear response surface in the study of interaction analysis of three combination drugs. Biom J 59:9-24
Fang, Hong-Bin; Wu, Tong Tong; Rapoport, Aaron P et al. (2016) Survival analysis with functional covariates for partial follow-up studies. Stat Methods Med Res 25:2405-2419
Fang, Hong-Bin; Deng, Dianliang; Zhang, Ting et al. (2014) Modeling sustained treatment effects in tumor xenograft experiments. J Biopharm Stat 24:755-67
Gojo, Ivana; Tan, Ming; Fang, Hong-Bin et al. (2013) Translational phase I trial of vorinostat (suberoylanilide hydroxamic acid) combined with cytarabine and etoposide in patients with relapsed, refractory, or high-risk acute myeloid leukemia. Clin Cancer Res 19:1838-51