The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) and other large payers have launched numerous initiatives aimed at improving the quality of medical care, including public reporting, pay-for-performance, and payment reforms designed to increase coordination of care. Whether such initiatives will improve clinical outcomes and reduce costs is uncertain, however. In this context, the candidate (Dr. Lena M. Chen) seeks to develop a better measure of quality for inpatient medical care, and to understand the relationship between hospital quality and total costs of care. The candidate, a hospitalist and health services researcher at the University of Michigan, will leverage this proposal to develop her research agenda, and develop into an independent investigator. During the period of support, she will pursue didactic instruction in several disciplines, including doctoral-level courses in advanced statistical methods and economics. She will also have ample opportunity for mentored, project-based learning, including the hands-on application of advanced statistical modeling and econometric techniques. The proposed research plan has two aims:
Aim 1. To develop and validate a composite quality measure for acute myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, and pneumonia. Using national Medicare claims data, the candidate will use empirical Bayes techniques to develop a composite measure of quality. Model inputs will include structural variables, process measures, and risk- adjusted outcomes. Model outputs will be risk-adjusted, hospital-specific, condition-specific estimates of 30- day mortality. We will also pilot a parallel and supplemental combined outcome measure: death or the inability to live independently after hospital discharge.
Aim 2. To understand the relationship between hospital quality and costs. The candidate will examine the condition-specific association between hospital quality and total Medicare payments, both with and without price adjustment. In addition to assessing overall payments around episodes of care, she is also interested in understanding the relationship between quality and specific types of costs, including those for index hospitalizations, readmissions, post-discharge payments, and ancillary care. She posits that high quality hospitals will have higher payments associated with greater post-discharge ancillary care, but lower payments overall, largely due to fewer readmissions. Findings from Aim 1 will inform efforts to improve hospital quality by combining multiple measures into a single metric better tied to clinical outcomes. Findings from Aim 2 will provide payers with insight into the impact of quality improvement efforts on costs.

Public Health Relevance

This proposal will create a composite measure of quality for inpatient medical care, and examine the association between hospital quality and costs of care. Our findings will have immediate value for the Centers for Medicare &Medicaid Services (CMS) and other large payers striving to improve the quality of inpatient medical care.

Agency
National Institute of Health (NIH)
Institute
Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ)
Type
Clinical Investigator Award (CIA) (K08)
Project #
1K08HS020671-01A1
Application #
8300332
Study Section
HSR Health Care Research Training SS (HCRT)
Program Officer
Anderson, Kay
Project Start
2012-07-01
Project End
2016-06-30
Budget Start
2012-07-01
Budget End
2013-06-30
Support Year
1
Fiscal Year
2012
Total Cost
Indirect Cost
Name
University of Michigan Ann Arbor
Department
Internal Medicine/Medicine
Type
Schools of Medicine
DUNS #
073133571
City
Ann Arbor
State
MI
Country
United States
Zip Code
48109
Chen, Lena M; Norton, Edward C; Birkmeyer, John D (2016) Comparing approaches to controlling medicare spending. J Hosp Med 11:215-6
Das, Anup; Norton, Edward C; Miller, David C et al. (2016) Association of Postdischarge Spending and Performance on New Episode-Based Spending Measure. JAMA Intern Med 176:117-9
Das, Anup; Norton, Edward C; Miller, David C et al. (2016) Adding A Spending Metric To Medicare's Value-Based Purchasing Program Rewarded Low-Quality Hospitals. Health Aff (Millwood) 35:898-906
Shih, Terry; Chen, Lena M; Nallamothu, Brahmajee K (2015) Will Bundled Payments Change Health Care? Examining the Evidence Thus Far in Cardiovascular Care. Circulation 131:2151-8
Chen, Lena M; Meara, Ellen; Birkmeyer, John D (2015) Medicare's Bundled Payments for Care Improvement initiative: expanding enrollment suggests potential for large impact. Am J Manag Care 21:814-20
Chen, Lena M; Sakshaug, Joseph W; Miller, David C et al. (2015) The association among medical home readiness, quality, and care of vulnerable patients. Am J Manag Care 21:e480-6
Fendler, Timothy J; Spertus, John A; Kennedy, Kevin F et al. (2015) Alignment of Do-Not-Resuscitate Status With Patients' Likelihood of Favorable Neurological Survival After In-Hospital Cardiac Arrest. JAMA 314:1264-71
Chen, Lena M; Wilk, Adam S; Thumma, Jyothi R et al. (2014) Use of medical consultants for hospitalized surgical patients: an observational cohort study. JAMA Intern Med 174:1470-7
Sinha, Shashank S; Chen, Lena M; Nallamothu, Brahmajee K (2014) Survival by the fittest: hospital-level variation in quality of resuscitation care. J Am Heart Assoc 3:e000768
Ederhof, Merle; Chen, Lena M (2014) Critical access hospitals and cost shifting. JAMA Intern Med 174:143-4

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