This project will develop new methods for measuring aggregate intergenerational transfers;construct historical estimates and projections of intergenerational transfers in varying social, economic, and policy contexts;analyze the inter-relationships between public policy, familial support systems, and economic conditions;and analyze the macroeconomic and generational effects of public policy. The new National Transfer Account system will represent a significant advance because it measures both familial and public transfers, and because of its historical and international scope. These new data will be used to study the implications of population aging for both familial and public transfers, how changes in familial support systems are influencing the economic circumstances of different generations, the interaction between public and familial transfer systems, and the macroeconomic and generational effects of changes in public policy with regard to pensions, health care, and education. An international team is drawn from the U.S., Europe, Latin America, and Asia. The accounts will be estimated for seven economies, the U.S., France, Brazil, Chile, Japan, Taiwan, and Indonesia, with sufficient historical depth to analyze long-run changes in public policy, economic conditions, and family support systems. The broad historical and cross-cultural perspective will provide important new insights about alternative strategies for redistributing resources across generations. Parallel proposals with identical text, to be reviewed together, have been submitted by Lee at UC Berkeley and Mason at the East West Center in Hawaii.

Agency
National Institute of Health (NIH)
Institute
National Institute on Aging (NIA)
Type
Method to Extend Research in Time (MERIT) Award (R37)
Project #
5R37AG025247-08
Application #
8284394
Study Section
Special Emphasis Panel (NSS)
Program Officer
Haaga, John G
Project Start
2005-05-15
Project End
2014-04-30
Budget Start
2012-05-01
Budget End
2014-04-30
Support Year
8
Fiscal Year
2012
Total Cost
$253,078
Indirect Cost
$81,424
Name
University of California Berkeley
Department
Miscellaneous
Type
Organized Research Units
DUNS #
124726725
City
Berkeley
State
CA
Country
United States
Zip Code
94704
Lee, Ronald; Mason, Andrew; members of the NTA Network (2014) Is low fertility really a problem? Population aging, dependency, and consumption. Science 346:229-34
Mason, Andrew; Lee, Ronald (2013) Labor and Consumption across the Lifecycle. J Econ Ageing 1-2:
Cyrus, Chu C Y; Lee, Ronald D (2013) On the evolution of intergenerational division of labor, menopause and transfers among adults and offspring. J Theor Biol 332:171-80
Lee, Ronald D; Mason, Andrew (2011) Generational Economics in a Changing World. Popul Dev Rev 37:115-142
Auerbach, Alan J; Lee, Ronald (2011) Welfare and Generational Equity in Sustainable Unfunded Pension Systems. J Public Econ 95:16-27
Wolf, Douglas A; Lee, Ronald D; Miller, Timothy et al. (2011) Fiscal externalities of becoming a parent. Popul Dev Rev 37:241-66
Lee, Ronald (2011) The outlook for population growth. Science 333:569-73
Lee, Ronald D; Mason, Andrew (2011) Generational Economics in a Changing World. Popul Dev Rev 37:115-142