This proposal examines the gap between what how well weather forecasters are expected to use additional information and how well they actually use it. The proposal specifically examines how that gap widens as a function of the amount and complexity of new information. The first study examines the effects on judgemental reliability and validity of automating information acquisition and information processing. The second study examines the validity and reliability of informatyion acquisition as a function of amount of information. The third study focusses on the reliability and validity of information processing. The fourth study investigates the interaction between information acquisition and information processing as a function of amount of information. The results of this research will contribute to our understanding of expert judgement in weather forecasting and other fields. It should have practical implications for helping experts make the best use of technology that increases the amount of information available to them.

Agency
National Science Foundation (NSF)
Institute
Division of Social and Economic Sciences (SES)
Application #
9109594
Program Officer
N. John Castellan
Project Start
Project End
Budget Start
1991-10-01
Budget End
1994-09-30
Support Year
Fiscal Year
1991
Total Cost
$125,016
Indirect Cost
Name
Suny at Albany
Department
Type
DUNS #
City
Albany
State
NY
Country
United States
Zip Code
12222