The purpose of this study is to bring together multiple longitudinal data sets to analyze the same research questions in tandem. The questions include the following. (1) Rates of prevalence, incidence and chronicity of drinking patterns and problems will be examined by age and sex to test the hypothesis that the incidence and chronicity of drinking patterns and problems vary as a function of age and are equivalent across birth cohorts, historical, periods and cultures. (2) Prediction of incidence and chronicity will be examined within particular age strata across studies as a function of change in selected sociological, psychological, and biological variables. (3) Prediction of adult drinking problems will be assessed on the basis of antisocial behavior measured in childhood and adolescence across cultures to determine if studies replicate these findings or if they are culturally specific. (4) Prediction of adult drinking problems will be assessed on the basis of parental drinking (including alcoholism) in two longitudinal research designs (general population and adoptee studies). Interdisciplinary teams will work on both designs in the effort to generate interactive findings. (5) Assessment of environmental-historical factors will take place by using existing longitudinal studies to examine the social and economic conditions under which they were performed. This will enable studies to be used as """"""""controls"""""""" for each other as incidence and chronicity of drinking patterns and problems are evaluated by age and sex. These questions are set in the context of better understanding the interrelationships between chronological age, historical period and culture as they relate to alcohol use in the life cycle. Since the data sets represent studies from different birth cohorts, historical periods and cultural groups, the questions address these confounding factors by contrasting and systematically comparing their findings. A synthesis of these studies will enable assessment of maturational factors as hypothetically distinct from the confounding factors listed above. In this way, a cross-study approach will enable effective generalization of findings from the alcohol-related literature.

Agency
National Institute of Health (NIH)
Institute
National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism (NIAAA)
Type
Research Project (R01)
Project #
5R01AA007034-04
Application #
3110567
Study Section
Alcohol Psychosocial Research Review Committee (ALCP)
Project Start
1989-02-01
Project End
1990-04-30
Budget Start
1989-05-01
Budget End
1990-04-30
Support Year
4
Fiscal Year
1989
Total Cost
Indirect Cost
Name
University of California San Francisco
Department
Type
Schools of Nursing
DUNS #
073133571
City
San Francisco
State
CA
Country
United States
Zip Code
94143
Fillmore, Kaye Middleton; Kerr, William C; Bostrom, Alan (2003) Changes in drinking status, serious illness and mortality. J Stud Alcohol 64:278-85
Kerr, William C; Fillmore, Kaye Middleton; Bostrom, Alan (2002) Stability of alcohol consumption over time: evidence from three longitudinal surveys from the United States. J Stud Alcohol 63:325-33
Fillmore, Kaye Middleton; Roizen, Ron; Farrell, Michael et al. (2002) Wartime Paris, cirrhosis mortality, and the ceteris paribus assumption. J Stud Alcohol 63:436-46
Roizen, R; Fillmore, K M (2001) Some notes on the new paradigmatic environment of ""natural remission"" studies in alcohol research. Subst Use Misuse 36:1443-65
Kerr, W C; Fillmore, K M; Marvy, P (2000) Beverage-specific alcohol consumption and cirrhosis mortality in a group of English-speaking beer-drinking countries. Addiction 95:339-46
Fillmore, K M; Roizen, R (2000) The new manichaeism in alcohol science. Addiction 95:188-90
Fillmore, K M (2000) Is alcohol really good for the heart? Addiction 95:173-4
Roizen, R; Kerr, W C; Fillmore, K M (1999) Cirrhosis mortality and per capita consumption of distilled spirits, United States, 1949-1994: trend analysis. West J Med 171:83-7
Roizen, R; Kerr, W C; Fillmore, K M (1999) Cirrhosis mortality and per capita consumption of distilled spirits, United States, 1949-94: trend analysis. BMJ 319:666-70
Fillmore, K M; Golding, J M; Graves, K L et al. (1998) Alcohol consumption and mortality. III. Studies of female populations. Addiction 93:219-29

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