Teenage pregnancy rates, although hitting a new low in 1999, are still very high in the U. S. with 46.6 births per 1000 teenage women. Using secondary data analysis, we will estimate a dynamic discrete choice model of teen decisions about sexual activity, contraception, and other pregnancy outcomes. By estimating the dynamic model, we will be able to account for persistence due to habit formation. The dynamic model will then be used to forecast both short and long run teen pregnancy and birth rates under different state policies regarding sex education, and access to reproductive health services.

Agency
National Institute of Health (NIH)
Institute
Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health & Human Development (NICHD)
Type
Small Research Grants (R03)
Project #
5R03HD043817-02
Application #
6827841
Study Section
Pediatrics Subcommittee (CHHD)
Program Officer
Newcomer, Susan
Project Start
2003-12-01
Project End
2006-11-30
Budget Start
2004-12-01
Budget End
2006-11-30
Support Year
2
Fiscal Year
2005
Total Cost
$77,000
Indirect Cost
Name
Duke University
Department
Type
Other Domestic Higher Education
DUNS #
044387793
City
Durham
State
NC
Country
United States
Zip Code
27705