The USVI was hit by two successive, Category 5 hurricanes in September 2017: Hurricanes Irma and Maria. The storms caused massive damage on the islands, including partial destruction of the Schneider Regional Medical Center (SRMC), the only hospital on St. Thomas, with a reduction in available beds from 169 to <40, destruction of its Cancer Center and heart catheterization laboratories and reduced respiratory support, CT, and MRI capabilities. Provision of medical services has been further hampered by pre- and post-hurricane related departures of physicians and other medical personnel. Persons with the most serious conditions continue to be sent by air ambulance to hospitals in the continental United States, with others discharged back to the community to collapsed primary care, public health, and social networks. There was a perception on the part of physicians remaining on the island that mortality rates were up, particularly among poor, elderly patients with chronic conditions: in the words of one physician, ?they're just giving up and dying.? The current proposal seeks to provide documentation and increase understanding of the short and long term health risks and impacts of the 2017 hurricanes, focusing on the SRMC Emergency Department as the primary access point for medical care on St. Thomas post-hurricane. Studies will assess acute hurricane-related medical conditions and the exacerbation of chronic diseases in the setting of a) severely disrupted health care services; b) individual patient factors; and c) a collapse of culturally-relevant social support networks, particularly for aging patients. Data will provide a basis for acute interventions as well as long-term disaster management planning to promote resilience, and will feed into subsequent modeling efforts focused on aspects unique to the Afro-Caribbean population of St. Thomas, USVI.
Specific Aims i nclude:
Aim1 : Characterize the differences in medical (diagnosis, co-morbidities, presence/absence of chronic disease, mortality) and demographic factors (age, gender, race/ethnicity, SES, payer status) for periods pre- and post-hurricanes, and by disposition (air ambulance transfer; hospital admission, discharge back to community).
Aim 2 : Follow 300 post-disaster ED patients ages 55+ with chronic medical diseases who were discharged back to the community at two time epochs (12 and 24 months) to characterize their demographic (age, gender, race/ethnicity); health care utilization (primary care visits); medical (co-morbidities); behavioral (medical adherence, coping style, depression, self-reported resilience) and social network status and identify the association of these factors with outcome (death, readmission to ED or hospital; functional status).
The devastating 2017 hurricanes had a profound impact on health and healthcare services on St. Thomas, with particular problems noted among elderly populations with chronic diseases. The current proposal seeks to document the shifting medical care needs associated with the hurricanes, and the drivers for these changing needs, to optimize the public health response both now and in planning for future disasters.
